Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 78.259239 87.760101 97.496261 108.188770 119.571402 131.297907 144.262943
2024-12-29 64.463233 78.190178 92.896390 109.699309 128.246202 147.981185 170.457375
2025-01-05 56.621221 72.794417 90.687179 111.697994 135.453721 161.260150 191.197093
2025-01-12 48.874047 66.462748 86.520826 110.668503 138.556644 169.396669 205.730818
2025-01-19 41.777088 60.098642 81.623596 108.156737 139.405420 174.520415 216.460206
2025-01-26 39.047695 58.673954 82.259476 111.844328 147.182403 187.346003 235.774235
2025-02-02 36.220302 56.826538 82.142145 114.428586 153.504911 198.382743 252.964465
2025-02-09 32.076394 52.927153 79.200026 113.335111 155.249861 203.932522 263.689415
2025-02-16 28.431166 49.372490 76.432658 112.228299 156.788534 209.090957 273.838655
2025-02-23 26.025244 47.298555 75.400045 113.147426 160.679599 216.956895 287.110338
2025-03-02 23.481607 44.817740 73.666614 113.036318 163.192305 223.095343 298.284621
2025-03-09 21.495252 42.975230 72.655493 113.747254 166.645650 230.312082 310.708689
2025-03-16 18.994170 40.191227 70.252563 112.579266 167.725047 234.679550 319.804866
2025-03-23 17.610550 39.009569 69.989243 114.181414 172.285940 243.298868 334.043168
2025-03-30 16.486588 38.138806 70.092810 116.220906 177.372203 252.549549 349.048508
2025-04-06 14.578453 35.815182 67.985531 115.167374 178.394255 256.718589 357.841256
2025-04-13 12.460455 32.915705 64.870130 112.592990 177.325904 258.198645 363.279909
2025-04-20 12.122274 33.105027 66.339714 116.372038 184.595914 270.141198 381.596963
2025-04-27 11.535895 32.791070 67.014837 119.019664 190.368060 280.208132 397.626529
2025-05-04 10.140757 30.837090 65.077395 117.899444 191.080116 283.843163 405.680943
2025-05-11 8.875860 28.982797 63.189608 116.765456 191.709420 287.327971 413.518409
2025-05-18 8.132616 28.085811 62.766977 117.707157 195.110407 294.339890 425.753780
2025-05-25 7.255631 26.806180 61.656593 117.593325 197.043810 299.449118 435.601711